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MM 305 Unit 7 Project-Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time...




Question;In this project you will be using theStates Datafile that is found in Doc Sharing under the Instructor-Graded Projects:?Steps for accessing theStates Data file:1.Open your Excel with PhStat22.Click File?Open3.Select theStates Data file?Not all questions require the use of technology or theStates Date file.?You must insert your answers, including any charts, graphs, or output, on this document.?Be sure to put your name on this document and save it to your computer.1. Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has been thinking about starting her own independent gas station. Susan?s problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of the station and a number of marketing factors related to oil industry and demand for gasoline. After careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:Size of Gasoline StationGood Market ($)Fair Market ($)Poor Market ($)Small$70,000$30,000-$30,000Medium$110,000$50,000-$40,000Large$170,000$70,000-$50,0001.Develop a decision table for this decision.2.What is the Maximax decision?3.What is the Maximin decision?4.What is the criterion of realism decision? Use? = 0.6.5.Develop an Opportunity Loss Table6.What is the Minimax Regret Decision?2. Data collected on the yearly demand for 50-pound bags of fertilizer at Sunshine Garden Supply are shown in the following table.YearDemand for Fertilizer (1,000s of Bags)1427354551067788991110141115Use Excel QM to:1.Develop a three-year moving average to forecast sales in year 12.2.Develop a 3-year weighted average to predict demand in year 12, in which sales in the most recent year is given a weight of 2 and sales in the two years prior to that are each given a weight of 1.3.Develop a regression/trend line to estimate the demand for fertilizer in year 12.4.Based on the three forecasts you have created, which forecast is the most accurate?3. Kaplan College has decided to "wire" its campus. The first stage in this effort is to install the "backbone," i.e., to connect all the buildings. The table below gives the distances between the various buildings on campus in hundreds of feet.Distances in Hundreds of FeetFromToBuilding 1Building 2Building 3Building 4Building 5Building 6Building 137554Building 25266Building 3544Building 453Building 54Building 61.How should the buildings be connected to minimize the total length of cable?2.What length of cable is required?4. The following represents the distances in miles from a warehouse (node 1) to various cities in Montana. The major outlet store is located at node 7.From NodeTo NodeDistance12401410023202430346035403620457047505650578067401.Find theshortest route and distance from Node 1 to Node 7.5. The network of a city sewer system and their capacities are shown below. Remember that the arc has both capacity and reverse capacity. For example, row 1 is the flow from node 1 to node 2 and row 2 is the reverse flow from node 2 to node 1. There are eight branches in this network.From NodeTo NodeFluid Flow1215021100130311501430041300151505110024300422003425043300353005325045100540Determine the maximum flow (in hundreds of gallons of water per minute) from node 1 to node 56. The governor of Michigan believes that the state can improve the state?s crime rate if the state can reduce the college debt carried by its citizens and if they can increase the percent of the population covered by health insurance.1.Using theStates Data Set and PHStat, create the multiple regression prediction equation.2.Predict the crime rate for Michigan if the college debt were $25,000 and the percent not covered by insurance was 10?7. A concessionaire for the local ballpark has developed a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decisions) and states of nature (size of crowd).Stocking DecisionLarge Crowd ($)Average Crowd ($)Small Crowd ($)Large Inventory$22,000$12,000-$2,000Average Inventory$15,000$12,000$6,000Small Inventory$9,000$6,000$5,000If the probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.30 for a large crowd, 0.50 for an average crowd, and 0.20 for a small crowd, determine:1.The alternative that provides the greatest expected monetary value (EMV).2.The expected value of perfect information (EVPI).Submitting Your Project?Save your project in a location that you will remember and with your full name. When you are ready to submit your project, click on the Dropbox and complete the steps below:?Click the link that says, ?Submit an Assignment.??In the ?Submit to Basket? menu, select Unit 7 Project.?In the ?Comments? field include your name.?Click the ?Add Attachments? button.?Follow the steps listed to attach your Word Document.?You should revisit the Dropbox to view any helpful feedback your instructor has and to retrieve your graded project.?Make sure that you save a copy of your submitted project.


Paper#45651 | Written in 18-Jul-2015

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